{"id":851,"date":"2015-07-29T08:05:54","date_gmt":"2015-07-29T08:05:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=851"},"modified":"2015-07-29T08:05:54","modified_gmt":"2015-07-29T08:05:54","slug":"jul-29-trade-plan-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=851","title":{"rendered":"Jul 29 &#8211; Trade Plan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The protector Alpha is up 3% for the year vs SPY ~1.3%. \u00a0We got hurt a bit on the last whipsaw. I had reluctantly rolled my 211 short puts to 213.5 when the market was at around 213 for a loss having missed the big upswing and thus losing on intrinsic value. The market moved very quickly and I just couldn&#8217;t stay up on it (overnight gaps etc). \u00a0THEN the market decided to suddenly reverse falling to 206 leaving our 213s with no extrinsic value. Talk about whipsaw. I then rolled to 211 to get a bit of extrinsic now it&#8217;s on its way up again. I do believe this is a bounce into fed Wednesday and that we may stall or reverse hard but I&#8217;ll be sure to quickly roll if we come near 210.5. Not a great environment for rolling the shorts. \u00a0That and the big loss NEM had (was actually -15%) has put our PA account at just about 3% for the year. \u00a0Leveraged 7x = 21% or just about 3.5% a month for the year. This is better than expected given the market this year. This is a bullish strategy and has its place in our portfolio. It does well when the market does well yet is completely hedged on the downside. It&#8217;s not the big returns you&#8217;ll see in the market neutral options strategies but it&#8217;ll help in big bullish years. Maybe those years are behind us in the next 5 year time span? I don&#8217;t know.<\/p>\n<p>My balance moved up 5% yesterday after the fall in volatility. Again, it shows how the mids and stated option pricing moves around so much in high volatility environments. It&#8217;s like the volatility was just sucked out of my accounts yesterday. It wasn&#8217;t delta losses or actual losses, it&#8217;s just that when the volatility floods out the MID pricing gets tighter and more accurate especially in the SPX. \u00a0This can affect your stated balance (AND margin calculations quite a bit). Any new traders utilizing portfolio margin should be aware of this. You can go to bed with PM stating 100k liquid only to wake up having it show -100k and be forced into liquidations. \u00a0It&#8217;s happened to me in my early days\u00a0running MICs. You end up buying back risk at a premium during the first 15 min of market open. Not pleasant. \u00a0There are tricks to reduce margin during these 15 min but that&#8217;s a subject of another post.<\/p>\n<p>Some early results:<\/p>\n<p>Aug Bearish butterfly: Up about 15%<\/p>\n<p>Aug M3: Up about 8%<\/p>\n<p>Rock Trades: up about 4%<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The protector Alpha is up 3% for the year vs SPY ~1.3%. \u00a0We got hurt a bit on the last whipsaw. I had reluctantly rolled my 211 short puts to 213.5 when the market was at around 213 for a loss having missed the big upswing and thus losing on intrinsic value. The market moved &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=851\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Jul 29 &#8211; Trade Plan<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[26,28,29,27,25,3,5,4,13,12,30,7],"class_list":["post-851","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trades","tag-bearish-butterfly","tag-john-locke-m3","tag-john-locke-rock-trade","tag-john-locke-trades","tag-m3","tag-mic","tag-modidor","tag-modified-iron-condor","tag-protector","tag-protector-alpha","tag-rock-trade","tag-weirdor"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5IMbd-dJ","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=851"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":852,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/851\/revisions\/852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=851"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=851"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=851"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}