{"id":1816,"date":"2019-04-03T14:08:51","date_gmt":"2019-04-03T14:08:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1816"},"modified":"2019-04-03T14:08:51","modified_gmt":"2019-04-03T14:08:51","slug":"apr-2-2019-trade-update-sttbwbbsh-and-bsh-factory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1816","title":{"rendered":"Apr 2 2019  Trade Update (STTBWB+BSH and BSH Factory)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Been a while,<\/p>\n<p>Figured I&#8217;d post an update on my results from the last year based on my total account value, so actual returns as well as what I expect going forward. My account has gotten larger and thus the complexity of what I do and how it&#8217;s managed has gotten more difficult in regards to flexibility of strategies etc. All I do now is manage portfolio sized STTBWB+BSH and BSH factory. This is probably all I&#8217;ll do in complex options for the foreseeable future. <\/p>\n<p>=========<\/p>\n<p>My YTD is 11.96% or more specifically Q1 (Jan 1 to Mar 29) <\/p>\n<p>My 9 month return is 29.27%<\/p>\n<p>My 6 month result is 17.5% (this includes a mess of things that didn&#8217;t do so well in Oct\/Nov\/Dec and are resultant from trades I no longer trade&#8211;>HS3, Rhino etc). If you remove these, it&#8217;s much closer to 25%-27% for the base portfolio trade mentioned above. IE right on target.<\/p>\n<p>My 1-year is 40.96% Mar 31-Mar 31 which does include a portion of amped up Feb 2018 recovery.<br \/>\n==========<\/p>\n<p>My expectations going forward are a yearly CAGR of about 40% for the main portfolio trade combined with some base trade returns of about 10% giving a total expected of 50% return on total capital. My actual for YTD extrapolated is suggesting 48% which fits right in line. I have no more catastrophic risk in Black swans and events. Everything is boring, simple in its management and I guess that&#8217;s the way it should be.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll be looking for higher vol days for more entries and removing risk by harvesting but other than that. Easy days.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Been a while, Figured I&#8217;d post an update on my results from the last year based on my total account value, so actual returns as well as what I expect going forward. My account has gotten larger and thus the complexity of what I do and how it&#8217;s managed has gotten more difficult in regards &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1816\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Apr 2 2019  Trade Update (STTBWB+BSH and BSH Factory)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[26,62,36,60,63,61,59,58],"class_list":["post-1816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trades","tag-bearish-butterfly","tag-black-swan-hedge","tag-broken-wing-butterfly","tag-bsh","tag-ron-bertino","tag-space-trip-trade-ron-bertino","tag-stt","tag-sttbsh"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5IMbd-ti","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1816"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1816\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1817,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1816\/revisions\/1817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}