{"id":1946,"date":"2020-01-15T17:45:25","date_gmt":"2020-01-15T17:45:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1946"},"modified":"2020-01-15T17:45:25","modified_gmt":"2020-01-15T17:45:25","slug":"year-end-results-and-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1946","title":{"rendered":"Year end Results and 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>2019: 29.83%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2020 YTD: 7.6% (What a good start to the year!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Total from Jan 2 2019 to Jan 15 2020 : 37.43% on total balance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the last 6 months, I&#8217;ve spent probably 6 hours a day (when I am not traveling :P) trying to design the most diligent portfolio of trades that I can. I am basing it on the tenant that a series of well diversified trades or portfolio compositions will provide a better risk adjusted return that in turns lowers my variance and stress and keeps my humanity out of it. Not only does it reduce variance and risk but it has a positive affect on human factors (the humanity part). If you have 10% of your account in a single strategy, you&#8217;ll be less apt to get cognitive bias and other negative human attributes involved.  I am sure everyone has experienced that before, when you&#8217;re in an ATM options trade and you&#8217;re at an adjustment point but the technicals all point to oversold and you want to wait for a bounce to adjust, yet it doesn&#8217;t bounce? Yeah, that&#8217;s human factors. You realize you fucked up so now you&#8217;re looking for an opportunity to adjust and emotions get involved. I&#8217;ve been there. The V of 2014 was that time. Things that are extremely overbought get even more extremely over bought..It is momentum.  If any given trade strategy is a smaller part of the portfolio you&#8217;re less apt to do that. I haven&#8217;t really done that in the last few years but it&#8217;s something that many newer traders struggle with. When you search for reasons or search for confirming evidence to avoid adjusting in a rules based trade then you&#8217;re introducing new variables into what was a thoroughly backtested trade. It&#8217;s not the same trade now. Follow your rules.  All of my trades are now non-discretionary rules based trades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having been through 5 years trading complex options positions through what feels like everything (short of the flash crash of 2010). I consider myself now fortunate to have suffered immensely through the following environments because it set the stage for a very strong development of resilient well diversified and non correlated trading portfolios that gives me excellent risk adjusted returns.  At the time of each of these, I am sure I was in some pain but they all taught me how to risk manage and to be a resilient and careful trader:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The V bottom of 2014<\/li><li>The crash of Aug 2015 <\/li><li>The prolonged bear move of Jan 2016<\/li><li> The extreme low vix environment of 2017 AND the subsequent highest transition VVIX move to Volmageddon<\/li><li>Volmageddon &#8211; Feb 2018<\/li><li>The no activation of hedges environment of Oct\/Dec 2018<\/li><li>The tweet environment of Aug 2019<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>I am hoping this year beats the last, it actually was a very slow year in terms of trading, I had almost no structures on from September on. I had to rely on my LTI portfolio until December when I was able to get a few structures on. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I am traveling a bit this year, going to Miami today to play a poker tournament, LA in Feb, a transatlantic cruise end of April with a brief two week tour of EU again. I return for the WSOP in Jun and July and PSPC in Barcelona in August.  After that I have no idea..#travelsandtrades \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More to come..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2019: 29.83% 2020 YTD: 7.6% (What a good start to the year!) Total from Jan 2 2019 to Jan 15 2020 : 37.43% on total balance. During the last 6 months, I&#8217;ve spent probably 6 hours a day (when I am not traveling :P) trying to design the most diligent portfolio of trades that I &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1946\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Year end Results and 2020<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trades"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5IMbd-vo","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1946"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1946\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1950,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1946\/revisions\/1950"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}