{"id":1581,"date":"2017-04-17T14:34:04","date_gmt":"2017-04-17T14:34:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1581"},"modified":"2017-04-17T14:34:04","modified_gmt":"2017-04-17T14:34:04","slug":"apr-17-stt-trade-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1581","title":{"rendered":"Apr 17 &#8211; STT Trade Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week was somewhat interesting re how volatility and vol skew can have an affect on trades. The P\/L on my trades halved from Apr 6 to Apr 12 and the market had moved a whole 8 points during that time. Almost NIL. However, the volatility increased and the skew changed as well causing my way OTM options that I am a net-seller on to retain or gain in value with-out the help of a similar increase in the debit spreads (closer ITM).  I found that quite neat, it&#8217;s not often you see such an increase in vol and change in vol skew without a corresponding down move. These types of things are fairly temporary and had we had a real down move, the debit spreads would have activated more. It&#8217;s an affect that occurs when there&#8217;s some binary events, or very low odd but genuine worry of tail risks (i.e. NK and Syria uncertainty) and probably the biggest reason, the French elections.<\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t really follow market technicals as much as I used to. I had several sources and was fairly in tune with the market, though for some reason, I&#8217;d never use it for trading \ud83d\ude42 I was mainly trading Rhinos which was incredibly frustrating for the last 14 months as most of you who trade that can attest. We&#8217;ve had a never ending up move from the Feb 9, 2016 lows (I think close to 45% on the RUT). The trade suffers in any cycle that has a 5%+ up move and that was 10 of the 14 previous months. The moves were pretty insane, I remember during the Brexit event, my balance increased 300k only to dwindle to half that in 2 days. That was the only time the market went down a modest amount and allowed my matured Rhinos to finally profit. I was struggling adjusting on the downside only to have the market scream against and rally until pretty much Feb of 2017.  From that Brexit event, the rhino trade was a struggle. <\/p>\n<p>The STT trades are the opposite, they&#8217;re quite docile. I had to get away from intra-day trading, as I&#8217;d stare at my risk profiles, do analysis and be like huh-ok, nothing to do..what am I supposed to do with my time now? Trading has become boring, I guess I&#8217;ve arrived \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<p>Here is my June STT trade<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.30.12-AM.png\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.30.12-AM.png?resize=660%2C451\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"451\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1585\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.30.12-AM.png?resize=1024%2C699 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.30.12-AM.png?resize=300%2C205 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.30.12-AM.png?resize=768%2C524 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.30.12-AM.png?w=1102 1102w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is a 108 unit trade. I&#8217;ve got 4 other Junes. It doesn&#8217;t include the BSHs which are not fully financed and do rely on some of the P\/L here to finance.<\/p>\n<p>Here is my JUL STT Trade<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.32.00-AM.png\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.32.00-AM.png?resize=660%2C400\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"400\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-1586\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.32.00-AM.png?resize=1024%2C620 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.32.00-AM.png?resize=300%2C182 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.32.00-AM.png?resize=768%2C465 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Screen-Shot-2017-04-17-at-9.32.00-AM.png?w=1093 1093w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This is a 45 unit trade. Most of its value is stuck in it as we await the French elections<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week was somewhat interesting re how volatility and vol skew can have an affect on trades. The P\/L on my trades halved from Apr 6 to Apr 12 and the market had moved a whole 8 points during that time. Almost NIL. However, the volatility increased and the skew changed as well causing my &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/?p=1581\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Apr 17 &#8211; STT Trade Update<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[62,63,38,61,64,59,58],"class_list":["post-1581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trades","tag-black-swan-hedge","tag-ron-bertino","tag-space-trip-trade","tag-space-trip-trade-ron-bertino","tag-spacetriptrade","tag-stt","tag-sttbsh"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5IMbd-pv","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1581"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1581\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1587,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1581\/revisions\/1587"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.travelsandtrades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}